Thursday, December 14, 2017

Fantasy Goalie Analysis: Dubnyk's injury; Top-25 rankings; goalie news and notes

Minnesota Wild goaltender Devan Dubnyk sustained a lower-body injury against the Calgary Flames on Tuesday and is week to week.

Dubnyk, 73rd overall and eighth among starting goaltenders in Yahoo based on standard-category performance, finished among the top 10 fantasy goalies in each of his previous three seasons since joining Minnesota.

Backup Alex Stalock (19 percent owned) relieved Dubnyk against the Flames and got his second straight win, stopping 16 of 17 shots faced. He also started and won at the San Jose Sharks on Sunday, stopping 31 of 34 shots faced. Stalock will start against the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday (8 p.m. ET; FS-N, SNO). He is a short-term streaming option for owners of Dubnyk, but should not be prioritized over some stronger outside options.

The best starting goaltender available in most leagues is Antti Raanta (23 percent owned) of the Arizona Coyotes. His strong play lately and the fact that he's in the final year of his contract warrant fantasy attention. If he is not going to sign long-term with the Coyotes, they could end up trading him to a contending team. Even for now, Raanta has bounced back from multiple injury absences and a season-opening four-game winless streak (0-2-1) by going 4-4-1 with a .930 save percentage over his past 10 games.

After Raanta, there are a number of fantasy-relevant backups, namely Aaron Dell (SJS; 31 percent owned), Ryan Miller (ANA; 43 percent) and Kari Lehtonen (DAL; 11 percent). Lehtonen has emerged as an intriguing pickup considering he has played two straight games, winning each and stopping 56 of 59 shots faced. The Dallas Stars play a road back-to-back set against the New Jersey Devils on Friday and Philadelphia Flyers on Saturday, so Lehtonen will likely get another start this week.

If Dell, Miller or Lehtonen is not available, the next-best strategy is to opt for a starter-turned-backup like Tristan Jarry (PIT; 32 percent owned) or Malcolm Subban (VGK; 34 percent). The Pittsburgh Penguins and Vegas Golden Knights are in Stanley Cup Playoff position, but Jarry and Subban are among the most-dropped goalies this week because Matt Murray and Marc-Andre Fleury are back from injuries. That said, each goaltender should still see playing time on occasion and receive strong goal support.

- Pete Jensen, NHL.com



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TRENDING UP

Brian Elliott, PHI: The Philadelphia Flyers have followed their 10-game losing streak by winning four in a row, with Elliott starting each of the games. Elliott (69 percent owned) allowed a combined seven goals in impressive road wins against the Calgary Flames (43 saves), Edmonton Oilers (24 saves) and Vancouver Canucks (36 saves) before making 20 saves in a 4-2 home win against the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday. Elliott was named the NHL's Third Star of the Week for the period ending Sunday. He's lowered his GAA to 2.76 and improved his save percentage to .912. Elliott is expected to start against the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday (7 p.m. ET; NBCSP, MSG-B, NHL.TV); it will be his season-high sixth straight start. Backup Michal Neuvirth (7 percent owned) has a leg injury and, even if he returns this week, may not get much playing time; Neuvirth is 2-5-1 with a 2.65 GAA and .915 SV% and has allowed three or more goals in four of five starts, including four or more in three of them.

Kari Lehtonen, DAL: It's somewhat surprising that Lehtonen (11 percent owned) has started four of the past six games for the Dallas Stars, but he has been better than No. 1 Ben Bishop lately. Lehtonen is 3-1-0 and allowed seven goals in those four games, including 32 saves in a 5-2 win against the New York Islanders on Wednesday for his 300th NHL win. His 2.44 GAA and .913 SV% are much-improved compared to his previous three seasons, and he's been playing his way into more starts recently. Bishop has been inconsistent this season; he's 13-9-0 with a 2.75 GAA, SV% and two shutouts, and has allowed at least three goals in five of seven games. With Lehtonen playing as well as he has, coach Ken Hitchcock could easily ride the hot hand, making Lehtonen a valuable streaming option and handcuff for Bishop owners.

Marc-Andre Fleury, VGK: The Vegas Golden Knights goaltender returned Tuesday after missing 25 games because of a concussion. Fleury (77 percent owned) was 3-1-0 with a 2.48 GAA and a .925 SV% in four starts before the injury and looked sharp in his return, making 35 saves in a 3-2 shootout loss to the Carolina Hurricanes on Tuesday. The 33-year-old should see the majority of the workload for Vegas if he remains healthy. The Golden Knights went 16-8-1 without Fleury, whose return mostly affects backup Malcolm Subban (7-2-0, 2.33 GAA, .924 SV%). Subban (36 percent) was rostered in one-half of Yahoo leagues two days ago but now is the clear No. 2 goalie behind Fleury.

TRENDING DOWN

Tristan Jarry, PIT: The rookie was serviceable in the absence of starter Matt Murray; Jarry (36 percent owned) has started the Penguins' past six games and is 5-2-2 with a 2.49 GAA, .919 SV% and one shutout. But with Murray expected to return Thursday at the Golden Knights (10 p.m. ET; NHLN, SN. SN360, ATTSN-RM, ATTNS-PT, NHL.TV), Jarry's run could be over. Murray has not played since Nov. 27, when he left a game against the Flyers with a lower-body injury, and although he has a high GAA (2.95) and low SV% (.906), he'll start the majority of the games if he remains healthy and benefit from Pittsburgh's high-scoring offense and power play. As a result, Jarry can be safely dropped in most leagues.

John Gibson, ANA: This isn't as much a knock on Gibson as it is praise for backup Ryan Miller, who is 3-0-4 with a 1.73 GAA and .945 SV% in eight games (six starts). Miller, the second-oldest goalie in the League at 37 (Roberto Luongo of the Florida Panthers is 38), appears to be fresher in his new role after starting 50-plus games in each of the past two seasons with the Vancouver Canucks. If Gibson gets injured or struggles at any point, Anaheim likely won't hesitate to give more playing time to Miller, who's available in three-fourths of leagues. Gibson does have nine wins and a .921 SV% but has allowed three or more goals in six of his past eight games.

Connor Hellebuyck, WPG: Prior to allowing one goal on 26 shots in a 5-1 win against the Vancouver Canucks on Monday, the Winnipeg Jets goalie had allowed nine goals in two games and at least three goals in four of five. Hellebuyck has decent peripherals (2.44 GAA, .920 SV%) and is tied for sixth in the NHL with 16 victories, but may not be a must-start option anymore. The Jets have one of the NHL's best offenses, so Hellebuyck can even win games where he allows three-plus goals. With Steve Mason injured and no experienced backup, Hellebuyck isn't in any danger of losing his job. That said, fantasy owners may want to take more of a game-by-game approach when deciding whether to start him.

TOP 25 GOALIE RANKINGS

Standard Yahoo categories include wins, goals-against average, save percentage and shutouts for goaltenders. ... Value has been quantified based on factors including but not limited to past production, team goaltender situations, anticipated start volume, projected goal support (or lack thereof), injury history, age, sleeper, bounce-back or breakout potential, potential regression, contract status and overall upside for this season. Any players with day-to-day injury concerns (DTD) are noted. NEW - INJ. indicates a player who has returned from injury and rejoined the rankings.

1. Andrei Vasilevskiy, TBL (SAME)
2. Jonathan Quick, LAK (SAME)
3. Pekka Rinne, NSH (+1)
4. Sergei Bobrovsky, CBJ (-1)
5. Frederik Andersen, TOR (+2)
6. Braden Holtby, WSH (-1)
7. Corey Crawford, CHI (+1)
8. Matt Murray, PIT (NEW - INJ.)
9. Carey Price, MTL (-3)
10. Jake Allen, STL (+1)
11. Tuukka Rask, BOS (+4)
12. Martin Jones, SJS (-3)
13. John Gibson, ANA (-3)
14. Cory Schneider, NJD (-1)
15. Connor Hellebuyck, WPG (-1)
16. Marc-Andre Fleury, VGK (NEW)
17. Henrik Lundqvist, NYR (-1)
18. Ben Bishop, DAL (-1)
19. Mike Smith, CGY (+2)
20. Ryan Miller, ANA (NEW)
21. Jaroslav Halak, NYI (-2)
22. Brian Elliott, PHI (NEW)
23. Aaron Dell, SJS (+2)
24. Kari Lehtonen, DAL (NEW)
25. Antti Raanta, ARI (NEW)
Dropped out: Tristan Jarry, PIT; Semyon Varlamov, COL; Malcolm Subban, VGK; James Reimer, FLA; Jacob Markstrom, VAN

Key injuries: Cam Talbot, EDM; Devan Dubnyk, MIN (dropped out); Roberto Luongo, FLA; Oscar Dansk, VGK; Michal Neuvirth, PHI

- David Satriano, NHL.com


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News and Notes from Rotoworld.com:

• Andrei Vasilevskiy will get the start for Tampa Bay on Thursday. Vasilevskiy is going for his fifth straight victory. He has a 20-4-1 record, 2.15 GAA, and .933 save percentage in 25 games in 2017-18.

• Laurent Brossoit will be Edmonton's starter on Thursday. It will be Brossoit's seventh straight start as Cam Talbot continues to recover. Brossoit has a 3-6-1 record, 3.15 GAA, and .891 save percentage in 12 games this season.

• Frederik Andersen will play between the pipes Thursday night. Andersen has had to face at least 36 shots in each of his last three starts, so we'll see if the Maple Leafs give him a little less work tonight. He's 17-9-1 with a 2.69 GAA and .922 save percentage in 27 contests this season.

• Antti Raanta will get the nod for Arizona on Thursday. Raanta turned aside 33 of 34 shots on Saturday, but the Coyotes still lost that contest. He has a 4-6-2 record, 2.68 GAA, and .919 save percentage in 14 contests in 2017-18.

• Aaron Dell is expected to start for San Jose Thursday night. Dell earned a 25-save shutout on Saturday. He's 5-3-1 with a 1.72 GAA and .939 save percentage in 11 contests this season.

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Satriano: Jarry, Price, Dell trending up

NHL.com Staff Writer David Satriano released his updated Top 25 Fantasy Goaltender Rankings on Thursday, and said that Tristan Jarry of the Pittsburgh Penguins, Carey Price of the Montreal Canadiens, and Aaron Dell of the San Jose Sharks are "trending up" in terms of percent owned in standard Yahoo! leagues.

Here is what Satriano wrote of Jarry:

Pittsburgh Penguins starter Matt Murray was in the Trending Down section last week, prior to his injury. Now that he's week to week with a lower-body injury, Jarry likely will get most of the starts. Jarry has seen his ownership skyrocket (up 33 percent in the past two days) and is 2-0-2 with a 2.83 GAA and a .907 save percentage in four games (three starts) this season. He has made 41 saves on 45 shots in his past two appearances. Jarry has five games of NHL experience, but he had 28 wins, a 2.15 GAA and .925 save percentage in 45 American Hockey League games with Wilkes/Barre Scranton last season. Casey DeSmith (less than 1 percent owned) likely won't challenge Jarry, so the job is likely his, for better or worse, until Murray returns.
Here is what Satriano wrote of Price:
There were obviously concerns from the Montreal Canadiens and fantasy owners alike when Price returned from his lower-body injury last weekend. So far, he's put all those questions to rest. Price has led the Canadiens to three straight wins, making 100 saves on 102 shots (.980 SV%) against the Buffalo Sabres, Columbus Blue Jackets and Ottawa Senators. He's looked sharp in each game, showing the form that won him the Vezina and Hart trophies in 2014-15. It's clear as long as he's healthy, he's the No. 1 in Montreal. That's not to say fantasy owners should expect these types of performances every night, but Price looks like a different goalie than the one who was 3-7-1 with a 3.77 GAA and .877 SV% before the injury.
Here is what Satriano wrote of Dell:
Martin Jones sustained a lower-body injury on Saturday during a 4-0 win against the Winnipeg Jets in which he made 38 saves and got a shutout. Jones didn't leave the game and traveled with the San Jose Sharks on their four-game road trip, although Dell got the start on Tuesday. He made 22 saves in a 3-1 win against the Philadelphia Flyers to improve to 3-3-1 with a 2.06 GAA and .924 SV%. Dell was very good backing up Jones last season (11-6-1, .200 GAA, .931 SV%) in 20 games (17 starts) and has already made nine appearances this season. Even if Jones is able to play Friday against the Florida Panthers, it's the first game of a back-to-back, meaning Dell likely would start against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday. Dell is one of the most valuable fantasy options in the League.

Saturday, November 25, 2017

DFS NHL Picks - November 25, 2017

Center:

Nathan MacKinnon - Colorado Avalanche: MacKinnon has been solid in his past five games, recording two goals and eight assists with his plus-minis at a +7 in that span.

Wingers:

Josh Bailey - New York Islanders: Similar to MacKinnon, Bailey has two goals and seven assists in his past five games. The only downside to Bailey is that his plus-minu8s is a -2 in that span, but he is still producing despite that. He also has two penalty minutes in the five-game span.

Johnny Gaudreau - Calgary Flames: In his past five games, Gaudreau has recorded four goals and six assists, with a +2 rating and two penalty minutes in that span.

Defensemen:

Nick Leddy - New York Islanders: Leddy has three goals and three assists in his past five games. He's a solid pick in terms of time-on-ice easily going over 20 minutes almost every game.

P.K. Subban: It came down to Subban and Oliver Ekman-Larsson for this choice. Subban has recorded six assists in his past five games, with a +1 rating. OEL has two goals and three assists in his last five, but has a -2 rating. Suban has one extra point in his tallies in the respective spans and has a better plus-minus too.

Goaltender:

Corey Crawford - Chicago Blackhawks: Crawford ranks fifth in the league in Goals-Against-Average (2.23), second in save-percentage (.932), and sixth in shutouts (2).

Friday, October 27, 2017

NHL Projected Goalie Starters - Oct. 27, 2017

Below are all projected goalie starters for all teams in action in the NHL tonight (Oct. 27, 2017):

AVALANCHE: Semyon Varlamov

GOLDEN KNIGHTS: TBD

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SENATORS: Mike Condon

DEVILS: Keith Kinkaid

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JETS: Steve Mason

BLUE JACKETS: TBD

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BLUES: Carter Hutton

HURRICANES: TBD

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PREDATORS: TBD

BLACKHAWKS: Corey Crawford

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STARS: Kari Lehtonen

FLAMES: Mike Smith 

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

DFS NHL Picks (October 10, 2017)

Center:

Bo Horvat - Vancouver Canucks:
In the Vancouver Canucks' season opening 3-2 win against the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday, Horvat scored twice, once on the power play, and had two shots on goal. He led Vancouver in points (52) last season as well.

Wingers:

Vladimir Tarasenko - St. Louis Blues:
Tarasenko is coming off two goals in a 3-2 shootout win against the New York Islanders on Monday, and has three goals, one assist and seven SOG in three games.

Martin Frk - Detroit Red Wings: Frk has two goals and one assist in his first two games of the season despite averaging 11:18 of ice time.

Defensemen:

Dion Phaneuf - Ottawa Senators:
The Canucks had the third-worst penalty kill (76.7 percent) in the NHL last season. Plus, Phaneuf has with two points (one goal, one assist), eight SOG and nine blocks in two games.

Kevin Shattenkirk - New York Rangers: Shattenkirk registered two points (one goal, one assist), including his 300th career NHL point, on Oct. 7 at Toronto. He has tallied three points (one goal, two assists) this season, all on the power play, and he is tied for the NHL lead in power play points in 2017-18.

Goaltender:

Brian Elliott - Philadelphia Flyers:
Elliott is a perfect 2-0-0 this season, having only given up five goals on 58 shots faced in those first two games. He defeated San Jose on Oct. 4 and defeated Anaheim on Oct. 7, logging 120:17 of ice time. His SV% is at .914 on the year and his GAA is at 2.50. He is expected to start at Nashville tonight.

Wednesday, October 4, 2017

DFS NHL Picks (October 4, 2017)

Center:

Leon Draisaitl - Edmonton Oilers: Draisaitl had a great Stanley Cup Playoff with 16 points in 13 games after recording 77 points regular season. He had six points (three goals, three assists) in five preseason games.

Wingers:

Patrik Laine - Winnipeg Jets: Laine finished among the League leaders in preseason goals (five; tied for 1st) and points (eight; tied for 3rd). Laine's 0.49 goals-per-game average last season was tied with Auston Matthews for second among rookies since the 2005-06 season behind Alexander Ovechkin (0.64) among those with a minimum of 70 games played.

Kailer Yamamoto - Edmonton Oilers: Yamamoto had seven points (five goals, two assists) in six preseason games, but he may be a slight risk due to his lack of NHL experience. But his prices can be so cheap that it's worth the risk.

Defensemen:

Kris Letang - Pittsburgh Penguins: Letang had 34 points in 41 games last season, and he is healthy after a full offseason recovering from season-ending neck surgery. Since 2011-12, Letang has dealt with multiple injuries but has the second-best point-per-game average (0.85) among defensemen behind Erik Karlsson (0.91).

Morgan Reilly - Toronto Maple Leafs: In Toronto's short playoff run in 2017, Reilly averaged 4.3 points per game on Draft Kings. He recordex four points (one goal, three assists), one power-play goal and 11 SOG in four preseason games.

Goaltender:

Matt Murray - Pittsburgh Penguins: With veteran Marc-Andre Fleuryselected by the Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL Expansion Draft, Murray has the starting job to himself and should begin strong at home, where he was 17-3-2 last regular season and 5-0 last postseason.

Monday, September 25, 2017

Fantasy: Mock draft 2.0 analysis for 2017-18

By Pete Jensen / NHL.com

The NHL season is less than two weeks away, and mock drafts continue to provide an accurate glimpse of the fantasy landscape.

NHL.com conducted another mock draft this weekend with fantasy staffers Pete Jensen, David Satriano and Ben Zweiman, correspondent Brian Metzer, Scott Pianowski of Yahoo, James Harding of DraftKings, Jonathan Baron of NHL Network, and five active Yahoo users.

NOTE:
This was a 12-team, non-keeper mock draft with standard categories (goals, assists, plus/minus, penalty minutes, power-play points and shots on goal for skaters; wins, goals-against average, save percentage and shutouts for goalies). Positions indicate eligibility in Yahoo leagues.

ROUND 1:

1. Baron - Connor McDavid (EDM - C)
2. FAN 1 - Sidney Crosby (PIT - C)
3. Satriano - Patrick Kane (CHI - RW)
4. Metzer - Auston Matthews (TOR - C)
5. Harding - Vladimir Tarasenko (STL - RW)
6. Jensen - Nikita Kucherov (TBL - RW)
7. FAN 2 - Carey Price (MTL - G)
8. FAN 3 - Jamie Benn (DAL - LW)
9. FAN 4 - Brent Burns (SJS - D)
10. Pianowski - Alex Ovechkin (WSH - LW)
11. FAN 5 - Evgeni Malkin (PIT - C)
12. Zweiman - Patrik Laine (WPG - RW)

Analysis: It's not surprising Kane went earlier than his NHL.com rank (7) in the midst of an impressive preseason alongside center Nick Schmaltz and rookie left wing Alex DeBrincat. … This is the earliest I've seen Tarasenko go in a standard format, but you have to love his goal-scoring ceiling given the success under coach Mike Yeo down the stretch last season and the forward depth around him this year. … Ovechkin is the best value pick of the round, especially with fresh linemates Evgeny Kuznetsov and Jakub Vrana. … Price continues to go very high despite concerns surrounding the Montreal Canadiens roster.

ROUND 2:

13. Zweiman - Brad Marchand (BOS - LW)
14. FAN 5 - Tyler Seguin (DAL - C/RW)
15. Pianowski - Jack Eichel (BUF - C)
16. FAN 4 - Mark Scheifele (WPG - C)
17. FAN 3 - Steven Stamkos (TBL - C)
18. FAN 2 - Braden Holtby (WSH - G)
19. Jensen - Nicklas Backstrom (WSH - C)
20. Harding - John Tavares (NYI - C)
21. Metzer - Matt Murray (PIT - G)
22. Satriano - Leon Draisaitl (EDM - C/RW)
23. FAN 1 - Erik Karlsson (OTT - D)
24. Baron - Victor Hedman (TBL - D)

Analysis: Seguin has been going behind Eichel and Scheifele in most mocks, but I still love him in this spot, especially playing with Benn and Alexander Radulov this preseason. That said, the new Eichel line with Evander Kane (in a contract year) and Jason Pominville could be a great fit for all three Buffalo Sabres forwards. … This is a little early for Stamkos given his injury history, but he could be a top five overall player if everything goes right alongside Kucherov. … Backstrom, playing on a line with Andre Burakovsky and T.J. Oshie this preseason, remains one of the safest bets for a point-per-game season out there. … Karlsson skated for the first time Saturday since having offseason foot surgery. If he doesn't end up missing much time, he could be a steal outside the top 20.

ROUND 3:

25. Baron - Johnny Gaudreau (CGY - LW)
26. FAN 1 - Dustin Byfuglien (WPG - D)
27. Satriano - Sergei Bobrovsky (CBJ - G)
28. Metzer - Artemi Panarin (CBJ - C/LW)
29. Harding - Cam Talbot (EDM - G)
30. Jensen - Mitchell Marner (TOR - C/RW)
31. FAN 2 - Phil Kessel (PIT - RW)
32. FAN 3 - Devan Dubnyk (MIN - G)
33. FAN 4 - Joe Pavelski (SJS - C/RW)
34. Pianowski - Jake Allen (STL - G)
35. FAN 5 - Filip Forsberg (NSH - LW)
36. Zweiman - Roman Josi (NSH - D)

Analysis: Gaudreau had a strong points-per-game average (0.85) in a down season when he missed 10 games, likely why Baron reached for the Calgary Flames left wing over Panarin. … The 26-35 range of most drafts is where you can either take a proven commodity (e.g. Kessel, Pavelski, Blake Wheeler) or reach for an emerging young wing (e.g. Marner, Pastrnak). I went with the upside here with dual-eligible Marner, who's a big component of arguably the deepest offense in the League. … Dubnyk went much higher than his ADP (46.0), but he's undervalued in general. Only Braden Holtby (131) has more wins than Dubnyk (108) over the past three seasons.

ROUND 4:

37. Zweiman - Kris Letang (PIT - D)
38. FAN 1 - Tuukka Rask (BOS - G)
39. Pianowski - Max Pacioretty (MTL - LW)
40. FAN 2 - David Pastrnak (BOS - RW)
41. FAN 3 - Claude Giroux (PHI - C)
42. FAN 4 - Shea Weber (MTL - D)
43. Jensen - P.K. Subban (NSH - D)
44. Harding - Duncan Keith (CHI - D)
45. Metzer - Blake Wheeler (WPG - RW)
46. Satriano - Zach Werenski (CBJ - D)
47. FAN 5 - Pekka Rinne (NSH - G)
48. Baron - John Gibson (ANA - G)

Analysis: This is a good range for Letang, who's healthy and set to make his preseason debut Sunday. He has top 15 potential and could finish first among defensemen if he stays healthy for close to a full season. … Giroux's value is low right now, so it's probably not necessary to reach for him (especially with centers dropping in most 12-team leagues). … There was a run on defensemen in this round, with five of the 12 picks at the position. Even with Subban facing questions after Mattias Ekholm was moved to Roman Josi's defense pair, he was on pace for a 50-point season last year despite injury and not playing on the Nashville Predators' first power-play unit.

ROUND 5:

49. Baron - William Nylander (TOR - C/RW)
50. FAN 5 - Wayne Simmonds (PHI - RW)
51. Satriano - Martin Jones (SJS - G)
52. Metzer - Kevin Shattenkirk (NYR - D)
53. Harding - Ben Bishop (DAL - G)
54. Jensen - Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL - G)
55. FAN 4 - Drew Doughty (LAK - D)
56. FAN 3 - Jonathan Quick (LAK - G)
57. FAN 2 - Corey Crawford (CHI - G)
58. Pianowski - Henrik Lundqvist (NYR - G)
59. FAN 1 - Frederik Andersen (TOR - G)
60. Zweiman - Patrice Bergeron (BOS - C)

Analysis: This may be a reach for Andersen, but he has room to improve on his League-worst overtime/shootout losses (14), and, thus, has a ceiling of 35-40 wins for the surging Maple Leafs. … Shattenkirk has looked dynamic this preseason and is a good value outside the top 50. … I am high on Bishop and Vasilevskiy, but don't sleep on Quick's value as he continues to slide in drafts. He doesn't need much goal support to be a top 5-10 fantasy goalie. … Zweiman secured the dangerous Marchand-Bergeron point pair in this round, and got a Twitter reply from the left wing after the draft.

ROUND 6:


61. Zweiman - Sean Monahan (CGY - C)
62. FAN 1 - Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF - D)
63. Pianowski - Mike Hoffman (OTT - LW/RW)
64. FAN 2 - Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH - C)
65. FAN 3 - Alex Pietrangelo (STL - D)
66. FAN 4 - Brandon Saad (CHI - LW)
67. Jensen - John Klingberg (DAL - D)
68. Harding - Ryan Getzlaf (ANA - C)
69. Metzer - Dougie Hamilton (CGY - D)
70. Satriano - Ryan Johansen (NSH - C)
71. FAN 5 - Jeff Carter (LAK - C)
72. Baron - Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI - D)

Analysis: Kuznetsov brings renewed fantasy optimism on a line with Ovechkin this preseason. Kuznetsov finished 51st in Yahoo last season despite an underachieving first half. … Johansen has slipped much further than this in other mocks, so make sure you're on your toes. … Klingberg brings exposure to all the potent forwards in Dallas, so I'll take him in every mock as a No. 2 defenseman. … Ekman-Larsson's bounce-back appeal looks even better with the Arizona Coyotes' improving defense (added Niklas Hjalmarsson, Jason Demers). … Getzlaf was better than a point per game over the regular season and playoffs combined, so he's the ultimate bargain this late.

ROUND 7:

73. Baron - Cam Atkinson (CBJ - RW)
74. FAN 5 - Corey Perry (ANA - RW)
75. Satriano - Jeff Skinner (CAR - LW)
76. Metzer - James van Riemsdyk (TOR - LW)
77. Harding - Alexander Radulov (DAL - RW)
78. Jensen - Nikolaj Ehlers (WPG - LW)
79. FAN 4 - Mark Giordano (CGY - D)
80. FAN 3 - Jakub Voracek (PHI - RW)
81. FAN 2 - Brayden Schenn (STL - C/LW)
82. Pianowski - Logan Couture (SJS - C)
83. FAN 1 - Ryan Suter (MIN - D)
84. Zweiman - Mike Smith (CGY - G)

Analysis:
There is plenty of value at right wing in this round; Atkinson finished 32nd in Yahoo last season, and Radulov could have NHL career-best totals across the board in Dallas. Voracek remains with Giroux and can at least be counted on for an elite shot volume. … Many forget Skinner finished among the League's top 10 in goals (37) and shots on goal (281) last season, and is 25 years old. … If Mike Smith ends up winning 30-35 games for the defensively sound Flames, this pick could pay large dividends. … Ehlers has been moved off the Winnipeg Jets' top line this preseason but would still be a threat for 55-60 points alongside Bryan Little.

ROUND 8:
85. Zweiman - Mikael Granlund (MIN - C/RW)
86. FAN 1 - T.J. Oshie (WSH - RW)
87. Pianowski - Justin Schultz (PIT - D)
88. FAN 2 - Jonathan Drouin (MTL - LW/RW)
89. FAN 3 - Sebastian Aho (CAR - LW/RW)
90. FAN 4 - Jonathan Toews (CHI - C)
91. Jensen - Rickard Rakell (ANA - C/LW)
92. Harding - Jonathan Huberdeau (FLA - LW)
93. Metzer - Jake Guentzel (PIT - C/LW)
94. Satriano - Mark Stone (OTT - RW)
95. FAN 5 - Torey Krug (BOS - D)
96. Baron - Jordan Eberle (NYI - RW)

Analysis: Rakell has greater fantasy upside playing center and on the first power-play unit for the Ducks in Ryan Kesler's injury absence. … Drouin could potentially gain center eligibility if he remains at the position after a preseason trial. … Guentzel could see some first power-play action if Patric Hornqvist (hand) misses the start of the season. It's amazing to see Huberdeau (ADP: 78.8) and his Florida Panthers linemate Aleksander Barkov (100.2) continue to slide in drafts. … Krug (fractured jaw) is unlikely for the start of the season, opening the door for rookie Charlie McAvoy to seize first power-play minutes.

ROUND 9:

97. Baron - Scott Darling (CAR - G)
98. FAN 5 - Taylor Hall (NJD - LW)
99. Satriano - Jacob Trouba (WPG - D)
100. Metzer - Viktor Arvidsson (NSH - LW/RW)
101. Harding - Justin Faulk (CAR - D)
102. Jensen - Craig Anderson (OTT - G)
103. FAN 4 - Seth Jones (CBJ - D)
104. FAN 3 - Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI - D)
105. FAN 2 - Cory Schneider (NJD - G)
106. Pianowski - Anze Kopitar (LAK - C)
107. FAN 1 - Ryan O'Reilly (BUF - C)
108. Zweiman - Jaden Schwartz (STL - LW)

ROUND 10:

109. Zweiman - Oscar Klefbom (EDM - D)
110. FAN 1 - John Carlson (WSH - D)
111. Pianowski - Kyle Palmieri (NJD - RW)
112. FAN 2 - Aleksander Barkov (FLA - C)
113. FAN 3 - Kyle Okposo (BUF - RW)
114. FAN 4 - Ryan McDonagh (NYR - D)
115. Jensen - Aaron Ekblad (FLA - D)
116. Harding - Evander Kane (BUF - LW)
117. Metzer - Colton Parayko (STL - D)
118. Satriano - Brent Seabrook (CHI - D)
119. FAN 5 - James Neal (VGK - LW/RW)
120. Baron - Conor Sheary (PIT - LW/RW)

*NOTE: Neal (hand) has been sidelined this preseason for the Vegas Golden Knights.

ROUND 11:

121. Baron - Alex Galchenyuk (MTL - C/LW)*
122. FAN 1 - Jake Gardiner (TOR - D)
123. Satriano - Marcus Johansson (NJD - LW)*
124. Metzer - Marc-Andre Fleury (VGK - G)
125. Harding - Zach Parise (MIN - LW)
126. Jensen - Jason Spezza (DAL - C/RW)
127. FAN 2 - Kyle Turris (OTT - C)
128. FAN 3 - Keith Yandle (FLA - D)
129. FAN 4 - Ryan Ellis (NSH - D)*
130. Pianowski - Tyler Toffoli (LAK - C/RW)
131. FAN5 - Milan Lucic (EDM - LW)
132. Zweiman - Brian Elliott (PHI - G)

*NOTES: Ryan Ellis (knee surgery) will miss at least two months. Ekholm would have been a better pick than Ellis here, but this is too early to be taking any team's third defenseman. ... Galchenyuk is playing wing this preseason for the Canadiens, and Johansson is playing center for the New Jersey Devils.

ROUND 12:

133. Zweiman - Cam Fowler (ANA - D)
134. FAN 5 - Jake Muzzin (LAK - D)
135. Pianowski - Max Domi (ARI - LW)
136. FAN 4 - Nino Niederreiter (MIN - LW/RW)
137. FAN 3 - Evgenii Dadonov (FLA - RW)
138. FAN 2 - Patric Hornqvist (PIT - RW)
139. Jensen - Andre Burakovsky (WSH - LW/RW)
140. Harding - Tyson Barrie (COL - D)
141. Metzer - Nathan MacKinnon (COL - C)
142. Satriano - Jakob Silfverberg (ANA - RW)
143. FAN 1 - Jaroslav Halak (NYI - G)
144. Baron - Brady Skjei (NYR - D)

ROUND 13:

145. Baron - Charlie McAvoy (BOS - D)
146. FAN 1 - Ryan Kesler (ANA - C)*
147. Satriano - Matt Niskanen (WSH - D)
148. Metzer - Jaccob Slavin (CAR - D)
149. Harding - Ondrej Palat (TBL - LW)
150. Jensen - Nick Leddy (NYI - D)
151. FAN 2 - Patrick Marleau (TOR - C/LW)
152. FAN 3 - Nick Foligno (CBJ - LW/RW)
153. FAN 4 - Matt Dumba (MIN - D)
154. Pianowski - Marc-Edouard Vlasic (SJS - D)
155. FAN 5 - Alexander Steen (STL - C/LW)*
156. Zweiman - Alexander Wennberg (CBJ - C)

*NOTES: Kesler (hip surgery) is out indefinitely; the Ducks hope to have him back by Christmas. He is worth stashing on injured reserve if you can get him late or off the waiver wire, but don't take him this high, especially with so many viable centers being drafted following this pick (e.g. Wennberg, Mika Zibanejad, Nico Hischier). ... Steen (hand) will miss the rest of training camp. Robby Fabbri would have been a better pick in this spot.

ROUND 14:

157. Zweiman - Sam Reinhart (BUF - C/RW)
158. FAN 5 - Tyler Johnson (TBL - C)
159. Pianowski - Jared Spurgeon (MIN - D)
160. FAN 4 - Mats Zuccarello (NYR - RW)
161. FAN 3 - Vadim Shipachyov (VGK - C/LW)
162. FAN 2 - Robin Lehner (BUF - G)
163. Jensen - Antti Raanta (ARI - G)
164. Harding - Anders Lee (NYI - LW)
165. Metzer - Mika Zibanejad (NYR - C)
166. Satriano - Bryan Little (WPG - C)
167. FAN 1 - Chris Kreider (NYR - LW)
168. Baron - Anthony Mantha (DET - LW/RW)

ROUND 15:

169. Baron - Robby Fabbri (STL - C/LW)
170. FAN 1 - Brendan Gallagher (MTL - RW)
171. Satriano - Ivan Provorov (PHI - D)
172. Metzer - Bobby Ryan (OTT - RW)
173. Harding - Roberto Luongo (FLA - G)
174. Jensen - Henrik Zetterberg (DET - C/LW)
175. FAN 2 - Nazem Kadri (TOR - C)
176. FAN 3 - Sami Vatanen (ANA - D)*
177. FAN 4 - Brock Boeser (VAN - RW)
178. Pianowski - Alec Martinez (LAK - D)
179. FAN 5 - Matt Duchene (COL - C/RW)
180. Zweiman - Peter Budaj (TBL - G)

*NOTES: Vatanen (shoulder) likely won't return until November, so he isn't worth drafting unless you're in a deeper league. There were higher-upside defenseman options (Nikita Zaitsev, Dmitry Orlov, Morgan Rielly, Ryan Pulock, Julius Honka) available in this spot. … Duchene's fantasy stock has never been lower for the Colorado Avalanche, but he's worth drafting this late in the hope he's traded either before or during the season.

ROUND 16:

181. Zweiman - Patrick Maroon (EDM - LW)
182. FAN 5 - Joe Thornton (SJS - C)
183. Pianowski - Eric Staal (MIN - C)
184. FAN 4 - T.J. Brodie (CGY - D)
185. FAN 3 - Timo Meier (SJS - LW/RW)
186. FAN 2 - Rick Nash (NYR - LW/RW)
187. Jensen - Ryan Strome (EDM - C/RW)
188. Harding - Shea Theodore (VGK - D)
189. Metzer - Damon Severson (NJD - D)
190. Satriano - Jimmy Howard (DET - G)
191. FAN 1 - Nico Hischier (NJD - C)
192. Baron - Mikko Rantanen (COL - LW/RW)