Showing posts with label Rankings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rankings. Show all posts

Thursday, February 23, 2017

Fantasy top 25 goalie rankings for 2016-17

via NHL.com.
All season long, NHL.com will rank the top 25 goalies for standard Yahoo leagues (wins, goals-against average, save percentage, shutouts). Players with long-term injuries have been removed from this list.

These rankings are based on expectations for the rest of the season. Value is quantified by projected starts, peripheral category coverage, time-share situations, team defenses, past performance and overall upside in standard leagues. It is important to note that our rankings reflect sheer fantasy value, not necessarily the most talented goalies in order.

The NHL Trade Deadline is less than a week away (March 1, 3 p.m., ET) and it's a safe bet that several goalies will be playing for new teams. Which goalies are traded and to which teams is obviously not known, but knowing the most likely goalies to be dealt can help you significantly in fantasy if you pick up or trade for them in anticipation.

Ryan Miller of the Vancouver Canucks is owned in 61 percent of Yahoo Leagues. He allowed three goals on 28 shots in a 3-2 loss to the Philadelphia Flyers on Sunday but stopped 35 of 36 shots in a 2-1 overtime win against the Calgary Flames the night before. In three of his four starts prior, he allowed at least four goals; in the other he had a shutout.

Miller hasn't been consistent, but his numbers (2.61 goals-against average, .917 save percentage, three shutouts) prove he still has something left even at 36. Miller has been the subject of trade rumors and likely would be a starter if traded, not a backup. With the Canucks six points behind the Calgary Flames for the second wild card into the Stanley Cup Playoffs from the Western Conference, they may choose to keep him. However, Miller is worth adding now in the hopes that he's traded and ends up in a better situation (the Canucks are 28th in goals per game with 2.30) and can provide value down the fantasy stretch run.

It's also worth noting if Miller were traded, Jacob Markstrom (11 percent owned) likely would become the everyday starter for Vancouver. He's 10-11-3 with a 2.63 GAA and .910 save percentage in 23 starts and hasn't been fantasy relevant this season.

There are other goalies likely to be traded, but none is perhaps more intriguing than Miller, since he's the one who is owned the fewest in leagues and likely can be claimed off the waiver wire, rather than having to trade for him if you need goalie help.

Here are other goalies to keep an eye on who could move before the deadline:

Ben Bishop, Tampa Bay Lightning (93 percent owned)

Bishop is in the final year of his contract, and although the Lightning have played better recently, they are in danger of missing the playoffs after advancing to at least the conference final in each of the past two seasons. Bishop, who struggled and also was injured, has been on fire lately; he's won his past five starts, allowing a total of six goals and appears to be back playing like his old self when he was a Vezina Trophy finalist in two of the past three seasons. If the Lightning do trade him, he'll still be fantasy relevant but it's unsure to what extent, depending on which team lands him. Bishop seems locked in right now and is worth trading for if you can get him at a low cost.

Marc-Andre Fleury, Pittsburgh Penguins (69 percent owned)

The Penguins goalie for the past decade could see his tenure in Pittsburgh end as soon as next week. If that's the case, he likely would start more, but that doesn't necessarily translate to results. Fleury has made 27 starts and is 15-7-5 with a 3.16 GAA and .906 SV%. Those are among the worst of his 13-year NHL career. With the emergence of Matt Murray during the 2016 playoffs and the continued success he's had this season, Fleury has been made expendable. However, if he's not putting up good numbers with a good defense and excellent offense in front of him with the Penguins, how much better could he really be with another team? Fleury is more of a wait-and-see approach.

Jaroslav Halak, New York Islanders (21 percent owned)

You may be surprised to see Halak here because he's currently playing in the American Hockey League. Halak was the odd man out in the Islanders' three-man goalie rotation after going 6-8-5 with a 3.23 GAA and .904 save percentage in the first two months of the season. Since being assigned to Bridgeport, Halak is 13-1-1 with a 1.96 GAA, .931 save percentage and two shutouts in 16 games. He's played exceptionally well and has playoff experience, and could be traded to a team in the hunt that needs goalie help. Depending on the team, Halak could see increased value. If you have the room, it might be worth stashing him for a week and if he doesn't get traded, you can always dump him.

Others who could be traded: Keith Kinkaid (New Jersey Devils, 2 percent owned), Jonathan Bernier (Anaheim Ducks, 7 percent owned), Scott Darling (Chicago Blackhawks, 27 percent owned)

WORTH NOTING

- Prior to allowing four goals on 35 shots in a 4-3 loss to the Edmonton Oilers on Wednesday, Florida Panthers backup James Reimer (37 percent owned) had allowed two goals in his past two starts and seven goals in his past five. Reimer has started 26 games this season, which isn't good news for Roberto Loungo owners.

- Pekka Rinne of the Nashville Predators has struggled recently, allowing at least three goals (including four three times) in his past four starts. As a result, backup Juuse Saros (7 percent owned) could see his role expand.

- Philadelphia Flyers goalie Steve Mason (41 percent owned) is healthy, but hasn't played since a 3-1 loss to the New York Islanders on Feb. 9. Michael Neuvirth (34 percent owned) has started each of the past five games.

TOP 25 FANTASY GOALIES

These rankings were last updated Feb. 23

1. Braden Holtby, WSH (SAME) 
2. Devan Dubnyk, MIN (SAME) 
3. Matt Murray, PIT (SAME) 
4. Sergei Bobrovsky, CBJ (SAME) 
5. Carey Price, MTL (SAME) 
6. Martin Jones, SJS (SAME) 
7. Tuukka Rask, BOS (SAME) 
8. Cam Talbot, EDM (+1) 
9. Henrik Lundqvist, NYR (+2) 
10. Corey Crawford, CHI (SAME) 
11. Pekka Rinne, NSH (-3) 
12. Ben Bishop, TBL (+1) 
13. John Gibson, ANA (DTD) 
14. Craig Anderson, OTT (+2) 
15. Jake Allen, STL (SAME) 
16. Frederik Andersen, TOR (-2) 
17. Peter Budaj, LAK (SAME) 
18. Thomas Greiss, NYI (+1) 
19. Cory Schneider, NJD (-1) 
20. Robin Lehner, BUF (+2) 
21. Roberto Luongo, FLA (-1) 
22. James Reimer, FLA (NEW) 
23. Jimmy Howard, DET (NR - INJ.) 
24. Michal Neuvirth, PHI (-1) 
25. Juuse Saros, NSH (NEW) 

*NR - INJ. - Not ranked last week because of injury 

Dropped out: Connor Hellebuyck (WPG), Cam Ward (CAR)

Friday, January 6, 2017

Fantasy top 25 goalie rankings for 2016-17

All season long, NHL.com's David Satriano will rank the top 25 goalies for standard Yahoo leagues (wins, goals-against average, save percentage, shutouts). Players with long-term injuries have been removed from this list.

These rankings are based on expectations for the rest of the season. Value is quantified by projected starts, peripheral category coverage, time-share situations, team defenses, past performance and overall upside in standard leagues. It is important to note that our rankings reflect sheer fantasy value, not necessarily the most talented goalies in order.


It may have come as a surprise when the New York Islanders waived veteran goalie Jaroslav Halak and subsequently sent him to Bridgeport of the American Hockey League. Halak had been getting most of the starts with Thomas Greiss (59 percent owned in Yahoo) backing him up and third-stringer Jean-Francois Berube making a few appearances as well.

It was clear that the three-goalie system was not going to work, and now it looks like Greiss will take the reins as the No. 1 with Berube backing him up. Greiss has a 2.45 GAA, .923 SV% and has won each of his past three starts. He's had a SV% of at least .941 in each, including 32 saves in a 6-2 road win against the Winnipeg Jets on Dec. 31.

Greiss had career bests in starts (38), wins (23) and SV% (.925) last season. He also was a huge reason the Islanders won a round in the Stanley Cup Playoffs for the first time in 23 years. This season, Greiss has seen fewer starts (14) than Halak (20), but has improved his even-strength SV% (.938) compared to last season (.933).

With such a bold roster move, general manager Garth Snow and coach Jack Capuano have put their trust in Greiss to be the workhorse as the Islanders attempt to climb the standings in pursuit of the playoffs. After New York's five-day break, it opens a stretch where six of its next seven games come against teams currently outside of postseason position. With two back-to-back sets in the span, it's fair to expect Greiss to be the main man, with a start or two from Berube (2 percent owned).

TRENDING UP

The Vancouver Canucks have won five straight, and Ryan Miller has played a big part in that streak. Miller is coming off of a 22-save shutout against the Arizona Coyotes on Wednesday, and has allowed a combined five goals in his past four starts. Miller has won four straight for the first time since the 2014-15 season and is readily available in shallow leagues (51 percent owned). He's had a save percentage of at least .923 in each of his past four games. Jacob Markstrom (15 percent owned) has a 2.60 GAA and .913 SV% and has challenged Miller for playing time, but will take a back seat if Miller keeps this up. The Canucks are quietly one of six teams separated by four points in the push for the two Western Conference Wild Card spots. 

TRENDING DOWN

The Tampa Bay Lightning have lost four of their past six games (2-3-1), and have allowed six goals in each of their first two games in the New Year. Andrei Vasilevskiy (64 percent owned) has started all seven games since Ben Bishop's injury, but is 3-3-1 with a .874 SV%. Bishop isn't expected to be back until the middle or later part of the month, meaning Vasilevskiy should continue to get starts through thick and thin. Kristers Gudlevskis (1 percent owned) has been assigned to Syracuse of the American Hockey League to get more playing time, but could soon return if Vasilevskiy continues to struggle.

WORTH NOTING

- Jared Coreau (6 percent owned) made 34 saves for his first NHL shutout in a 4-0 road win against the Los Angeles Kings on Thursday. With Jimmy Howard injured and Petr Mrazek struggling, Coreau could be in line for more work.

- Cory Schneider of the New Jersey Devils has bounced back with two impressive starts in a row. He shut out the Boston Bruins at home on Monday and allowed one goal on the road against the Carolina Hurricanes on Tuesday. The Devils goalie has two shutouts in his past five games.

- Peter Budaj (76 percent owned) continues to be an outstanding injury replacement for the Los Angeles Kings with Jonathan Quick sidelined. He has 17 wins, a 2.00 GAA, .921 SV% and four shutouts, putting him among the top 30 overall in Yahoo's performance-based rankings (28th). He has allowed two goals or fewer in eight straight starts. Despite a .956 SV% and two SO in the span, Budaj is 4-3-1 because of the Kings' offensive struggles. He's still a must-own player in all formats.

TOP 25 FANTASY GOALIES

These rankings were last updated Jan. 6
1. Carey Price, MTL, (+1)
2. Devan Dubnyk, MIN (-1)
3. Braden Holtby, WSH (+1)
4. Sergei Bobrovsky, CBJ (-1)
5. Tuukka Rask, BOS (SAME)
6. Corey Crawford, CHI (+1)
7. Martin Jones, SJS (-1)
8. Henrik Lundqvist, NYR (SAME)
9. Pekka Rinne, NSH (+1)
10. Marc-Andre Fleury, PIT (+2)
11. Jake Allen, STL (SAME)
12. Steve Mason, PHI (-3)
13. Cam Talbot, EDM (+1)
14. John Gibson, ANA (+2)
15. Roberto Luongo, FLA (-2)
16. Frederik Andersen, TOR (-1)
17. Cory Schneider, NJD (+3)
18. Cam Ward, CAR (+1)
19. Brian Elliott, CGY (+3)
20. Peter Budaj, LAK (+3)
21. Andrei Vasilevskiy, TBL (-4)
22. Thomas Greiss, NYI (+3)
23. Mike Condon, OTT (-2)
24. Jared Coreau, DET (NEW)
25. Ryan Miller, VAN (NEW)

Dropped out: Antti Raanta (NYR), Chad Johnson (CGY)

Key injuries: Matt Murray (PIT), Jonathan Quick (LAK), Ben Bishop (TBL), Jimmy Howard (DET), Semyon Varlamov (COL)